Is the Market Bottoming Out?

When the noise is loudest, clarity matters most. At Finansys, we've consistently guided investors with data-backed insights — not noise. In November 2024, we anticipated a short-term rebound followed by a deeper correction (Read here) . In January 2025, we advised caution as the market entered an oversold zone (Read here).

Both calls played out accurately — and now, it’s time to shift gears. Today, as March comes to a close, we believe we are witnessing the early signs of a market bottom — and potentially, the next big multi-year opportunity.

Signs of a Bottom Forming – But We're Not There Yet

The market has rallied sharply off its March 4 low of 21,964, reaching a new swing high of 23,869 on March 24 — surpassing the previous peak of 23,807 from Feb 5. However, it’s crucial to recognize that:

• The index has moved from oversold to overbought in the near term

• The recent upmove has surprised most, but still falls within the scope of a bear market rally

• For a confirmed trend reversal, the Nifty must hold the low of 21,964 (March 4) during the next correction in April

• A strong March close (likely), followed by robust price action in April–May, could tilt the scales in favour of a confirmed market bottom

This is not a “V-shaped” bottom — this bottoming process typically takes weeks to months. But what’s important is this - technically and fundamentally strong stocks often move ahead of the index, and we’re already seeing that play out.

What’s Ahead: Key Events to Watch

🔹April 2 – Trump administration's announcement of reciprocal tariffs, a potential macro trigger for global risk assets

🔹April–May – Q4 results season in India, likely to influence stock-specific moves and market sentiment

We may still see market cooling in the short term — but the likelihood of the Nifty bottoming out is rising, and this opens up a unique window to start building positions.

Why Investors Should Pay Attention Now

This is not the time to chase the rally blindly — but neither is it the time to wait on the sidelines. Historically, the best returns come from investing when the market is still uncertain — but gradually improving.

Market bottoms are a process, not an event — and the leaders emerge before the index does.

If you’ve been waiting for clarity — this is your signal to start acting. The bottom may not be confirmed yet, but this is the phase where wealth-building portfolios start getting built.